동아시아 FTA 형성경로 탐색에 관한 일고 －한중일 3국의 FTA 정책을 중심으로－ = Can New Regionalism like East Asian FTA Make in East Asia? : focused on FTA policy of South Korea, China, Japan

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper analyse the possibility of development and formation on New
Regionalism like East Asian FTA in East Asia. Especially We find that South
Korea, China, Japan can lead to formation of East Asian FTA through reviews to
backgrounds and states, characteristics on development of its FTA policy. According
to this reviews, we research that new regionalism in East Asia appear upon stage
of history because this countries enforced to promote to its FTA policy. That is
South Korea, China, Japan can play a central role for formation of East Asian
FTA. But in the present state of affairs regional cooperations and endeavors for
East Asian FTA was faced up to break off because gaps of inspections on regional
political, economic issues between this 3 countries (and ASEAN).
In conclusion we find to break the ice at South Korea’s FTA policy for
formation of East Asian FTA. That is to say Korea have to conclusion Korea-US
FTA or Korea- EU FTA and so on preferentially. And because this FTAs give
chance South Korea to make restructuring in agriculture, South Korea will have
enhanced competitive power in agriculture area by this chance. This means
provability of dispute and conflict is low when east asian countries(included South Korea, China, Japan) discuss and negotiate for multilateral regional trade agreement in future. Finally this Korea’s competitive power enforced in agriculture will have driven Korea-China FTA to conclude. And this conclusion of Korea-China FTA will have driven Japan to participate to Korea-China-Japan FTA because Japan not want to disadvantage to absence this RTA. East Asian FTA will have accomplished through this Korea-China-Japan FTA integrate ASEAN that will accomplish ASEAN economic community to 2015 again.

참고문헌 (Reference)

• 1 이동휘, "한미 FTA 이후의 동북아 지역협력 방향" 외교안보연구원 3 (3): 12-, 2006
• 2 박창건, "한국의 FTA 추진전략에 있어서 동아시아 지역주의 발전에 대한 고려: 한－일 FTA를 중심으로" 15 (15): 9-, 2007
• 3 손열, "한국의 FTA 추진의 국제정치경제: FTA 경쟁과 따라잡기의 동학" 104-105, 2006
• 4 이승주, "한국 통상정책의 변화와 FTA" 29 (29): 115-, 2007
• 5 김승태, "한국 FTA의 정책과 전망" 서강대학교경제학연구원 33 (33): 3-, 2004
• 6 이균, "지역주의와 한국의 FTA 정책" 17 (17): 252-, 2007
• 7 신관호, "지역무역협정의 경제적 효과와 동아시아 지역주의에의 시사점" 10 (10): 180-, 2004
• 8 민경식, "중국의 대외경제정책변화와 FTA추진" 19 (19): 19-, 2007
• 9 서창배, "중국의 FTA정책에 담긴 정치?경제적 함의" 한중사회과학학회 5 (5): 73-, 2007
• 10 강준영, "중국의 FTA 추진전략 분석－전략 목표별 사례분석을 중심으로－" 11 (11): 3-30, 2007
• 11 조현준, "중국 FTA정책의 정치경제적 목적과 결정요인" 19 (19): 59-66, 2007
• 12 김호섭, "일본의 FTA 정책과 국내정치 in: 일본연구논총" 129-157, 2004
• 13 郭眞吾, "일본의 FTA 전략 ― 동아시아의 경제통합과 지역주의를 중심으로 ―" 한국일본학회 (63) : 223-242, 2005
• 14 박창건, "동아시아에 대한 일본의 FTA전략: 복합적 지역주의" 47 (47): 151-152, 2007
• 15 김상준, "동아시아 지역공동체에서 중국과 일본" 17 (17): 429-, 2007
• 16 박병인, "동아시아 자유무역지대(FTA)의 형성과 중국의 전략" 31 : 121-, 2003
• 17 진시원, "동아시아 경제협력의 제경로: FTA를 중심으로" 10 (10): 323-324, 2006
• 18 강보경, "동아시아 경제통합에서 한중일 FTA의 당위성에 대한 연구" 12 (12): 483-485, 2008
• 19 程大?, "中國常?外交??三年回眸" WTO 時代?? 20-22, 2004
• 20 최태욱, "「세계화시대의 국내정치와 국제정치경제」 , 한국학술정보, 2003. , “한국 정부의 FTA 추진전략과 문제점”, 국제관계연구 , 12(1), 2006. p.42"
• 21 이주연, "“일본의 FTA 추진전략과 시사점”, 「해외경제포커스 」, 한국은행, 2006, 5. 21-27, p.7"
• 22 김준동, "“세계경제 여건의 변화와 투자협정?자유무역협정의 의의”, 대외경제정책연구원 현안브리핑 자료, 2000. pp.143-148"
• 23 浦田秀次郞, "“貿易投資主導の經濟成長と地域統合,” 靑木保/ 浦田秀次郞/ 白井早由里/ 福島安紀子/ 神保謙, 「東アジア共同體と日本」, 東京: NHK出版, 2005. p.129"
• 24 Bergsten, C. F., "“The New Asian Challenge,” Working paper 00-04, the Institute for International Economics, 2000"
• 25 Baldwin, R., "“A Domino Theory of Regionalism,” NBER Working Paper Series 4465, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1993"
• 26 Bhagwati, J., "Trading Preferentially: Theory and Policy" 108 : 1128-1148, 1998
• 27 Rajan, R. S., "Trade liberalization and the new regionalism in the Asia-Pacific: taking stock of recent events" 5 : 167-195, 2005
• 28 Balassa, B., "The Theory of Economic Integration" Richard Irwin 1961
• 29 Meade, J. E., "The Theory of Customs Unions" 1955
• 30 Kim Y. S., "Northeast Asian Economic Integration: Prospects for a Northeast Asian FTA, KIEP Conference Proceedings, 03-05, 2003"
• 31 Morgan, P. M., "Multilateralism and Security: Prospects in Europe in: Multilateralism Matters" Columbia Unversity Press 355-357, 1993
• 32 Rajan, R. S., "Monetary and financial cooperation in Asia: taking stock of recent ongoings" 8 : 31-45, 2008
• 33 "Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan, Diplomatic Bluepook, 2006. pp.172-173"
• 34 Noble, G. W., "Japanese and American Perspectives on East Asian Regionalism" 247-262, 2008
• 35 Calder, K.., "Japanese Foreign Economic Policy Formation: Explaining the ‘Reactive State’" 40 : 519-538, 1988
• 36 Dieter, H., "Exploring alternative theories of economic regionalism: From trade to finance in Asian co-operation" 10 (10): 436-, 2003
• 37 MaCormack, G., "Community and Identity in Northeast Asia: 1930’s and Today"
• 38 Shambaugh, D., "China Engages Asian" 29 (29): 75-76, 2004
• 39 Keohane, R. O., "After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy" Princeton: Princeton University Press 31-46, 1984
• 40 Thomas, N., "ASEAN＋3: C / community building in East Asia" 8 (8): 1-19, 2001
• 41 Ravenhill, J., "A three bloc world? The new East Asian regionalism" 2 : 167-195, 2002