Nuclear weapons after the comprehensive test ban : implications for modernization and proliferation

목차 (Table of Contents)

• CONTENTS
• Preface = ⅷ
• Acronyms = ⅸ
• 1. Implications of the comprehensive test ban for nuclear weapon programmes and decision making / Eric Arnett = 1
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 1
• Ⅱ. Status of the CTB negotiations = 3
• Ⅲ. Effects of the CTB on nuclear weapon modernization = 5
• Ⅳ. Effects of the CTB on the nuclear weapon programmes of the threshold states = 12
• Ⅴ. Effects of the CTB on nuclear weapon proliferation = 18
• Ⅵ. Conclusions = 22
• Table 1.1 Effects of the CTB on existing and possible nuclear weapon programmes = 4
• 2. China / Dingli Shen = 24
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 24
• Ⅱ. Progress towards the CTB = 24
• Ⅲ. Implications of the CTB for the Chinese strategic nuclear weapon establishment = 25
• Ⅳ. The relevance of negative security assurances to the CTB = 27
• Ⅴ. Conclusions = 30
• 3. France / Marie-H$$\acute e$$l$$\grave e$$ne Labb$$\acute e$$ = 31
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 31
• Ⅱ. Established French nuclear weapon doctrine = 31
• Ⅲ. The CTB treaty and nuclear weapon modernization = 34
• 4. India / Giri Deshingkar = 41
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 41
• Ⅱ. India's position on nuclear arms control and disarmament = 43
• Ⅲ. India's view of the CTB = 45
• Ⅳ. The prospect of India joining the CTB = 48
• Ⅴ. Possible non-proliferation steps by India = 52
• Ⅵ. Conclusions = 53
• 5. Iran / Jalil Roshandel = 55
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 55
• Ⅱ. States not party to or not complying with the NPT = 57
• Ⅲ. Iran's nuclear energy programme = 58
• Ⅳ. The nuclear weapon states and Iranian security = 60
• Ⅴ. Conclusions = 61
• 6. Israel / Marvin M. Miller = 62
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 62
• Ⅱ. The international nuclear non-proliferation agenda = 66
• 7. The Democratic People's Republic of Korea / Pae Sang Hak = 68
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 68
• Ⅱ. Nuclear danger in the North-East Asian region = 68
• Ⅲ. The responsibility of the USA within the region = 72
• Ⅳ. Towards a nuclear weapon-free North-East Asian region = 73
• 8. Pakistan / Shafqat Ali Khan = 74
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 74
• Ⅱ. The nuclear weapon option = 74
• Ⅲ. Pakistani nuclear diplomacy = 77
• Ⅳ. Pakistan and the CTB at the Conference on Disarmament = 81
• Ⅴ. Significance of the CTB for Pakistan = 85
• Ⅵ. Conclusions = 86
• 9. Russia / Sergey V. Kortunov = 87
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 87
• Ⅱ. The Russian nuclear posture after the cold war = 87
• Ⅲ. The debate over the CTB and prospects for ratification = 94
• Ⅳ. Conclusions = 97
• Table 9.1. Past and projected Soviet/Russian strategic nuclear warheads, by delivery system = 91
• 10. The United Kingdom / Patricia M. Lewis = 99
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 99
• Ⅱ. The development of the British nuclear weapon programme = 100
• Ⅲ. Status of British nuclear weapons in 1995 = 103
• Ⅳ. Plans for nuclear weapon modernization = 104
• Ⅴ. Structure of the British nuclear weapon establishment = 105
• Ⅵ. Nuclear weapon safety assessments = 105
• Ⅶ. Attitude of the British Government towards a CTB treaty = 108
• Ⅷ. Plans within AWE for coping with a CTB treaty = 111
• Ⅸ. The role of the UK in implementing a CTB treaty = 113
• Ⅹ. Efforts of the UK in verification = 114
• XI. Conclusions = 115
• Table 10.1. Nuclear weapon designs in the British nuclear arsenal, 1958-95 = 103
• 11. The United States / Katherine Magraw = 116
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 116
• Ⅱ. Reversal of US CTB policy = 117
• Ⅲ. US nuclear weapon doctrine and planning = 120
• Ⅳ. US nuclear forces under the CTB = 121
• Ⅴ. The US Stockpile Stewardship programme = 123
• Ⅵ. Conclusions = 128
• 12. Implications of nuclear weapon programmes for the comprehensive test ban treaty and the non-proliferation regime / Eric Ameu = 129
• Ⅰ. Introduction = 129
• Ⅱ. Implications for the CTB treaty negotiations = 129
• Ⅲ. Implications for nuclear norms = 132
• Ⅳ. Conclusions = 140
• Table 12.1. Nuclear weapon classes that have been or are expected to be retired without being replaced = 134
• Table 12.2. Probable effects of the CTB and related norms on foreseeable modernization decisions in the long term = 140
• About the contributors = 143
• Index = 145