中小企業의 南北經協에 관한 實證的 分析 : With an emphasis on the Light-Industry sector 輕工業 部門을 中心으로 = A Empirical Study on Economic Cooperation between South-North Korea's Small Businesses

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The major findings of the this study are as follows;
1.The economic cooperation of South-North Korea's small businesses which is specialized in light industry is to be revitalized
The economy of North Korea has shown negative growth for six years(1990 through 1995)→The shortage of consumer's goods is very serious→The trade enlargement of light industry through its economic open-door policyt is inevitable
2.The economic cooperation of South-North Korea's small businesses has to first put emphasis on enlargement of goods-exchange which is basically patterned on southern export and northern import.
The reasons are as follows:
The export ability of North Korea goes to the limit for its economic difficulties.
The import demand on light industry goods in North Korea is very large due to a falling behind of its light industry
3.The falling behind of light industry in North Korea is getting serious more and more the component ratio of light industry:48.8% in 1965→29.7% in 1994.
The component ratio of heavy industry:51.2% in 1965→70.3% in 1994
4.The meanings of import demanding model estimation to the North Korea's light industry goods are as follows;
Under the current system of North Korea's economy, its import demand on light industry goods is much more influenced by economic outer factors than economic factor initself.
But the economy of North Korea will be somewhat open in 2000 years, it is expected that North Korea will follow a capitalistic economy model. So the import demand prediction of North Korea's light industry goods by the use of international norm model seems very persuasive.
5.The import demand prediction results of North Korea's light industry goods by international norm model are as follows;
The goods expecting the import demand will be the highest:Rubber and Plastic Products.
The goods expecting the increasing rate of Import demand will be the highest:Leather Products.
The import demand prospect of light industry goods.

products 2000 years 2010 years
Testiles and Clothing 261~279 366~410
Footwear 244~250 279~292
Food Products and Beverages 159~178 267~323
Toys, Miscellaneous products 53 56~57
Leather and Leather Products 14~16 30~41

6.The prospective goods-exchanging patterns between South-North Korea's small businesses by comparative advantage theory are as follows;
Southern Export-Northern Import pattern:Rubber and Plastic Products, Leather and Leather Products, Footwear, Furniture, Toys
Southern Import-Northern Export pattern:Animal Products, Wood and Wood Products, Mineral products, Glassware
Trade of processing on commission:Textiles and Clothing
7.The prospective investment patterns of South Korea's small business to North Korea considering a investment danger and competitive power of light industry products are as follows;
Textiles and Clothing:Joint Venture, Individual Investment
Rubber and Plastic Products, Leather and Leather Products:Joint Venture
Vegetable products, Wood and Wood products:Collaborative Investment
Footware:Individual Investment
Toys, Miscellaneous products:Joint Venture, Individual Investment
Pulp, Paper and Paper Products:Joint Venture