미계측 유역 유출 모의를 위한 Tank 모형의 매개변수 지역화

국문 초록 (Abstract)

본 연구에서는 미계측 유역인 저수지 상류 유역의 유출을 모의하기 위하여 Tank 모형의 구성성분을 개선하고 매개변수를 지역화하였으며, 모형의 적용성을 평가하였다. 저수지 상류 유역의 유출특성을 고려하여 3단 Tank 모형을 선정하였다. 유역 물수지를 고려하여 세 번째 Tank의 지하배수과정을 제외하였으며, 증발산성분은 국내의 기상관측 상황을 반영하여 개선하였다. 모형의 민감도 분석결과는 매개변수 α의 변화에 따라 모형이 합리적으로 반응한다는 것을 제시하였다. 유역의 유역특성인자와 토지이용상태를 변수로 사용하여 모형의 매개변수 지역화식을 결정하였다. 3개 유역의 유출 모의와 1개 저수지의 저수위 모의에 대하여 모형 성능을 검증하였으며, 실측치와 모의치가 유사한 경향을 나타냈다. 24개 저수지 유입량 모의에 모형을 적용한 결과, 대상 저수지 상류 유역의 평균 증발산율은 42.8%, 평균 유출률은 56.6%이었다. 결론적으로 매개변수가 지역화된 Tank 모형은 저수지 상류 유역의 유출 모의에 적용이 가능하며, 모의된 유입량 자료는 저수지 계획, 설계, 운영에 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

To provide a reliable tool for runoff simulations of ungauged watersheds upstream of reservoirs, a daily runoff simulation model, Tank model, is restructured, the parameter regionalization of the model is conducted, and the model's applicability is evaluated. Taking into account the characteristics of runoffs from the watersheds, a three-tank model is employed. The percolation process of the model's third tank is eliminated, considering the water budgets of the watersheds, and its evapotranspiration component is improved, reflecting the conditions of meteorological observation in South Korea. The sensitivity analysis of the model shows that the model's behaviors, varying with a sensitive parameter, α, are reasonable. The regional parameter estimation equations are determined, using the characteristics and land uses of the watersheds as variables. The model is applied for the runoff simulations of three watersheds and the water stage simulation of one reservoir, and the simulation results are then compared with the observed values, which prove to be in close agreement with the observations. In addition, the results from simulating inflows of twenty-four reservoirs using the model show that the averages of evapotranspiration rate and runoff rate are 42.8% and 56.6%, respectively, which are resonable. Consequently, it is concluded that the model is practically applicable to simulating runoffs from watersheds upstream of reservoirs, and simulated inflow data are useful for watershed management and reservoir planning, design, and operation.

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