KCI등재
미주자유무역지대(FTAA)의 추진경과와 출범 전망 = Free Trade Area of the Americas: Negotiation Processes and Prospects
저자
이내영 (고려대학교 정치외교학과)
발행기관
학술지명
권호사항
발행연도
2002
작성언어
Korean
KDC
349.05
등재정보
KCI등재
자료형태
학술저널
수록면
39-77(39쪽)
제공처
소장기관
This paper aims to discuss the recent progress and prospects of the Free Trade Area of Americas (FTAA) negotiations. Thirty-four countries of the Americas gathered at the Third Summit of the America, held in April 2001, in Quebec, Canada, where they agreed to launch the FTAA in December 31, 2005. The FTAA is an expansion of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) to include every country in Central America, South America and the Caribbean, with the exception of Cuba, Negotiations began right after the completion of NAFTA in 1994 and are to be completed by early 2005.
The region-wide trend of economic liberalization and reform, the successful launching of NAFTA and MERCOSUR, and the revitalization of existing regional arrangements, such as the Andean Pact and the Central Common Market (CACM), are contributing factors to the recent progress of the FTAA negotiations. If it is launched in 2005 as planed, the FTAA will be the largest trade bloc comprising a market of 800 million populations and maintaining a GDP of $12 trillion dollars. Therefore, the FTAA is expected to provide profound impacts on the American region both economically and politically.
It is no question that the FTAA will bring substantial economic benefits to participating countries. The FTAA is expected to reduce trade barriers, to enlarge the market size, and thus to facilitate economic growth in the American region. Still, given various obstacles, it remains uncertain whether FTAA negotiations will progress smoothly. Thirty-four countries which are currently participation in the FTAA negotiations differ significantly both in terms of their developmental stage of the economy and their size and industrial structure. As a consequence, these member countries have differing interests and positions toward various agenda of the FTAA negotiations, thus making it hard for them to reach a consensus and agreement.
The successful progress of FTAA negotiations will be determined by a number of factors. The most crucial variable will be the leadership role of the United States. The experiences of the European Union show the importance of regional leader for successful regional integration. In fact, the slow progress of the FTAA negotiation under the Clinton administration can be largely attributed to its reluctant position and weak leadership on the issue of the FTAA. Since the current Bush administration has adopted a more active policy toward the FTAA and also controls the majority seats of the congress, in contrast to the Clinton government, President Bush seems to have a better chance to play the active leadership role toward the FTAA.
Another crucial factor is the policy of the MERCOSUR and its leader Brazil toward the FTAA negotiations. The MERCOSUR members, especially Brazil, have shown and ambivalent attitude toward the FTAA. Brazil has been worried about the possibility that the FTAA may undermine her domestic industries, and its status as a regional leader. Therefore, Brazil prefers the gradual approach toward the FTAA. In addition, FTAA negotiations are affected by other factors such as economic stability of Latin America, the European Union's policy toward Latin America, and the progress of the WTO's New Round of trade negotiations.
Regarding the prospects of the FTAA, the following three scenarios are suggested in this article. The first scenario is the smooth progress of FTAA negotiations and a successful launching of the FTAA in 2005. This scenario can be realized if the United States plays a leading role and the MERCOSUR takes a cooperative stance to the FTAA. The second scenario is the launching of the FTAA with a limited scope. This scenario is possible if FTAA negotiations are delayed and the United States decides to launch the FTAA by expanding the NAFTA. The final scenario is the failure or delay of FTAA negotiations. This scenario can occur if the Bush government fails to obtain Fast Track Authority (FTA) from the Congress and thus loses its leadership in the FTAA negotiations. If this ituation is realized, the MERCOSUR is likely pursue the South American Free Trade Area (SAFTA) and the regional integration of the Americas will be controlled by two regional arrangements, the NAFTA and the SAFTA.
The successful establishment of the FTAA is expected to provide a profound impact on the world economy and the American region. In the positive aspect, the FTAA is expected to become and impetus for the Latin American countries to change their protectionist policies and thus contributes to expanding the liberal trade order. At the regional level, it is no doubt that the FTAA lowers trade barriers and increases intra-regional trade and investment. In the negative aspect, the FTAA is likely to increase disadvantages and trade barriers to non-member countries and thus it may intensify the vicious cycle of "competitive regionalism." The FTAA also contributes to enhancing the hegemony of the U.S. throughout the American region.
Economic relations between Korea and the American region will be significantly affected by the FTAA. The American region has been the key export market for Korea and the establishment of the FTAA is expected to bring negative effects to Korean trade relations with this region. According to a Korean International Economic Policy (KIEP) study, the FTAA is estimated to cause 10-12% reduction Korean exports to Latin America. Therefore, the Korean government and business need to pay close attention to the progress of FTAA negotiations, and should prepare for proper responding strategies before the FTAA comes into effect in 2005.
서지정보 내보내기(Export)
닫기소장기관 정보
닫기권호소장정보
닫기오류접수
닫기오류 접수 확인
닫기음성서비스 신청
닫기음성서비스 신청 확인
닫기이용약관
닫기학술연구정보서비스 이용약관 (2017년 1월 1일 ~ 현재 적용)
학술연구정보서비스(이하 RISS)는 정보주체의 자유와 권리 보호를 위해 「개인정보 보호법」 및 관계 법령이 정한 바를 준수하여, 적법하게 개인정보를 처리하고 안전하게 관리하고 있습니다. 이에 「개인정보 보호법」 제30조에 따라 정보주체에게 개인정보 처리에 관한 절차 및 기준을 안내하고, 이와 관련한 고충을 신속하고 원활하게 처리할 수 있도록 하기 위하여 다음과 같이 개인정보 처리방침을 수립·공개합니다.
주요 개인정보 처리 표시(라벨링)
목 차
3년
또는 회원탈퇴시까지5년
(「전자상거래 등에서의 소비자보호에 관한3년
(「전자상거래 등에서의 소비자보호에 관한2년
이상(개인정보보호위원회 : 개인정보의 안전성 확보조치 기준)개인정보파일의 명칭 | 운영근거 / 처리목적 | 개인정보파일에 기록되는 개인정보의 항목 | 보유기간 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
학술연구정보서비스 이용자 가입정보 파일 | 한국교육학술정보원법 | 필수 | ID, 비밀번호, 성명, 생년월일, 신분(직업구분), 이메일, 소속분야, 웹진메일 수신동의 여부 | 3년 또는 탈퇴시 |
선택 | 소속기관명, 소속도서관명, 학과/부서명, 학번/직원번호, 휴대전화, 주소 |
구분 | 담당자 | 연락처 |
---|---|---|
KERIS 개인정보 보호책임자 | 정보보호본부 김태우 | - 이메일 : lsy@keris.or.kr - 전화번호 : 053-714-0439 - 팩스번호 : 053-714-0195 |
KERIS 개인정보 보호담당자 | 개인정보보호부 이상엽 | |
RISS 개인정보 보호책임자 | 대학학술본부 장금연 | - 이메일 : giltizen@keris.or.kr - 전화번호 : 053-714-0149 - 팩스번호 : 053-714-0194 |
RISS 개인정보 보호담당자 | 학술진흥부 길원진 |
자동로그아웃 안내
닫기인증오류 안내
닫기귀하께서는 휴면계정 전환 후 1년동안 회원정보 수집 및 이용에 대한
재동의를 하지 않으신 관계로 개인정보가 삭제되었습니다.
(참조 : RISS 이용약관 및 개인정보처리방침)
신규회원으로 가입하여 이용 부탁 드리며, 추가 문의는 고객센터로 연락 바랍니다.
- 기존 아이디 재사용 불가
휴면계정 안내
RISS는 [표준개인정보 보호지침]에 따라 2년을 주기로 개인정보 수집·이용에 관하여 (재)동의를 받고 있으며, (재)동의를 하지 않을 경우, 휴면계정으로 전환됩니다.
(※ 휴면계정은 원문이용 및 복사/대출 서비스를 이용할 수 없습니다.)
휴면계정으로 전환된 후 1년간 회원정보 수집·이용에 대한 재동의를 하지 않을 경우, RISS에서 자동탈퇴 및 개인정보가 삭제처리 됩니다.
고객센터 1599-3122
ARS번호+1번(회원가입 및 정보수정)