KRX 시가단일가매매시간에서 외국인·기관투자자의 가격발견 영향력: WPC 횡단면 결정요인 분석을 중심으로 = Foreign and Institutional Investors’ Influence on Price Discovery during the KRX Opening Call Auction-process Time: Focusing on Analysis of Cross-sectional Determinants of WPC

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

On April 29, 2019, the Korea Exchange (KRX) reduced the duration of the pre-market opening call auction—referred to as the opening call auction session—from 60 minutes to 30 minutes in its KOSPI market. This study examines the impact of this policy change by analyzing how foreign and institutional investors contribute to price discovery during the shortened auction period. Specifically, we divide the opening call auction session into 5-minute intervals and investigate investor-specific order submission patterns and the cross-sectional determinants of Weighted Price Contribution (WPC), both before and after the change. Using data from all submitted orders over 50 trading days before and after the event, we find the following key results: First, order submission behavior differs markedly across investor types. Retail investors predominantly submit their orders during the early part of the auction session, whereas foreign and institutional investors tend to concentrate their order submissions toward the latter part of the session. Moreover, the proportion of revised and canceled order by foreign and institutional investors increases significantly near the end of the session, suggesting active price adjustment behavior. This implies that these investors behave as informed traders, delaying order submission to the final stages in order to avoid premature information disclosure and to exert greater influence over price determination of the latter part of the session. As a result of these strategic behaviors, foreign and institutional investors exhibit significantly higher order execution rates, reinforcing their dominant role in the price discovery process.
Second, the determinants of Weighted Price Contribution (WPC)—used to measure the contribution of submitted orders to the opening price—vary across time segments within the call auction and reveal contrasting dynamics between the early and late phases. Specifically, the initial stage of the auction (the “WPC initial computation interval”) is the first opportunity for market participants to incorporate overnight information that has become available since the previous day’s close. During this phase, price discovery tends to occur more rapidly in stocks with lower participation by foreign and institutional investors, smaller firm sizes, higher volatility, or greater liquidity. In contrast, the latter part of the call auction (the “WPC adjustment interval”) is characterized by a reversal in these determinants. In this phase, price discovery is primarily driven by stocks that have higher participation from foreign and institutional investors, lower volatility, or larger firm sizes. This suggests that investor composition, and stock characteristics exert different influences on price formation depending on the stage of the auction. Interestingly, at the moment of opening price determination—the final order-matching point—price discovery again accelerates in stocks with lower foreign investor participation or smaller firm sizes, diverging from the characteristics observed during the immediately preceding phase.
This reversal implies a process similar to a tatonnement mechanism (as in a Walrasian auction), wherein the market undergoes a trial-and-error adjustment process to reach an equilibrium price. Third, the adjustment of WPC in the latter stage of the auction session is primarily driven by the strategic behavior of foreign and institutional investors. Initially, WPC often reflects overshooting caused by overreactions from retail investors, who act as noise traders. As the auction progresses and approaches the final price determination point, WPC declines—sometimes turning negative— indicating a correction process toward a more accurate equilibrium price. During this adjustment phase, foreign and institutional investors shift from a passive stance in the early phase to an active role in the latter part of the session, submitting a large proportion of ...