데이터과학을 활용한 대한민국과 주요국 해병대 변화 비교 분석 = Comparative Analysis of Changes in the ROK Marine Corps and Major Nations Using Data Science

국문 초록 (Abstract)

국방부와 각 군은 미래의 기술발전과 작전환경을 고려하여 병력 구조를 설계하고 비전을 제시하기 위해많은 연구와 노력을 기울이고 있다. 이를 위해 임무, 작전환경, 전력 체계 등 다양한 요소를 고려하고 있으며, 세계 다른 국가들의 병력 규모와 구조는 중요한 참고자료로 활용된다. 이에 본 연구는 데이터과학을 활용해대한민국과 주요국가들의 해병대의 과거와 현재를 비교 분석하였다. 과거와 현재 주요국가들의 국력과 해병대 관련 데이터를 수집하였으며, 주성분분석과 인자분석을 활용하였다. 이를 통해 과거와 현재 주요국가와대한민국 해병대의 위치를 시각화하고 분석하였다. 주성분분석과 인자분석 결과, ‘국력 및 해병대 규모’와‘신속대응작전역량’ 두 가지 인자를 도출해 분석하였으며, 2001년과 2021년 대한민국 해병대가 주요국과 유사한 위치에 있는 것을 확인하였다. 추가적으로 군집분석을 통해 미국의 주요 동맹국들이 ‘신속대응작전역량’이 높은 그룹을 형성하고 있음을 확인하였다. 본 연구는 대한민국 해병대의 과거와 현재 세계 속 위치를데이터를 통해서 시각화하고, 관련 인자와 변수를 분석함으로써 해병대의 미래 방향성을 설정하는데 시사점을 제공하고, 다른 군의 미래 방향성에 대해서 제안하는 방법론을 활용할 수 있음을 보여주고자 한다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The Ministry of National Defense and each branch of the military are dedicating significant research and effort to designing force structures and shaping future vision, considering technological advancements and evolving operational environments. This process involves the evaluation of various factors, including mis- sion requirements, operational conditions, and power systems. The military structures and force sizes of oth- er nations serve as valuable reference points in this process. In this study, data science was used to conduct a comparative analysis of the Republic of Korea Marine Corps (ROKMC) and Marine Corps forces of major countries, focusing on both past and present data. Data related to national power and Marine Corps ca- pabilities from major countries were collected, and principal component analysis and factor analysis were applied. This approach allowed for the visualization and assessment of the ROKMC’s relative position among other major countries over time. Two main factors were identified: “National Power and Marine Corps Size” and “Rapid Response Operational Capability.” Results indicate that the ROKMC held a similar position to major countries in both 2001 and 2021. Additionally, cluster analysis revealed that the United States' primary allies form a group with high rapid response capabilities. This study aims to visualize the past and current global standing of the ROKMC through data, analyze relevant factors and variables, and provide insights for setting the future direction of the Marine Corps. Additionally, it seeks to demonstrate that this methodology can be utilized to propose future directions for other military branches

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