日本의 對 ASEAN進出戰略과 韓國의 對應方案 硏究 = A Study on the Japanese strategy to Advance into Southest Asia and Our Strategy to Deal with It

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The Association of the Southeast Asian Nations(ASEAN) is economically important not only as the vast commodity market but also as the provider of natural resources. Japan established her economic hegemony through early advances into this area. There have been the two kinds of assessment on the Japanese investments into this area. One is that the Japanese economic penetration made ASEAN the economic vassal of Japan while the other that this contributed to the economic prosperity of this area.. The present study therefore examines the motivation and reality of the Japanese economic, and political advances into this area in order to explore some sueful lessons in the formulation of our ASEAN strategy.
Initially, the Japanese investments towards ASEAN concentrated on resource developments.
The pattern of the Japanese investments in the area, however, has changed dramatically in its magnitude and characteristics. In the 1970s and early 1980s, the Japanese investments amount to 400 millon dollars as annual average. It increased 900 million dollars in 1984 and 1,524 million dollars in 1987 respectively. At the same time, most investments were transformed from import-substituting industries to export industries. The investment boom since the middle of 1980s has been due to the high value of Japanese yen and trade conflicts between Japan and the US.
Viewing the annual trends of Japanese investments, one can see its annual increase of over 70% until 1990 and its decrease since then. This contrast with Japanese investments towards China which has increased rapidly since 1991. However, Japan's ASEAN investments has increased again in 1994 due to the high value of yen. The decrease of Japan's foreign investments in recent years has been due to the such multiple factors as the disappearance of bubble economy, cosequent economic recession, the increases of wages on the part of ASEAN countries and the emergence of China as an attractive site of foreign investments.
Several lessons can be drawn as the result of the analysis on the Japan's advances into ASEAN:
1) The pattern of our ASEAN investments which have been simple assembling production of labor intensive consumer goods should be corrected.
2) Industrial reordering master plan should be devised not only in ASEAN but also in south Asia, and China.
3) Joint ventures with local partners rather than individual investments should be promoted.
As for the Japan's political relations with ASEAN countries, Japan was able to penetrate economically into ASEAN as a result of the US's cold war policy. During the cold war periods, Japan could not have diplomatic autonomy due to her pursuit of the US's cold war policy. In the early 1970s when detente began as a result of the US-China rapproachment, Japan was able to have some diplomatic autonomy towards the Southeast Asian countries. Due to the rapid economic advances into the ASEAN countries on the part of Japan, the anti-Japanese riots during Prime Minister Tanaka's 1974 visit to ASEAN occured. It followed closely on the heels of the oil embargo. The demonstrations showed that Japan was alienated from some of its neighbors, whose importance as raw material providers had just been highlighted by the oil embargo. In this situation, Japan needed a new Southeast Asian policy. This new policy was crystallized in the Fukuda doctrine. The Fukuda doctrine enunciated that Japan would play a mediating role between ASEAN and the Indochina countries. Although Japan failed its mediating role because of the Vietnamese invasion into Cambodia, she played a significant role in the peaceful settlements of the Combodian confilicts and in the Asian Pacific economic cooperation. In the post cold war periods, Japan will continue expanding its political role in this area. as a junior partner of the US. Korea should cooperate with the ASEAN countries in order for the US to remain in the Asian Pacific area.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 문제의 제기
• Ⅱ. 일본의 대 ASEAN 경제진출
• Ⅲ. 일본과 ASEAN의 정치, 외교관계
• Ⅳ. 한국의 대응방안
• Ⅴ. 결 론