鄧小平 死後 江澤民政權의 政治經濟的 展望과 韓中關係 = The Prospects for Jiang Zemin's regime and Korea-Chinese Relationships
저자
최문성 (진주교육대학교 정치학)
발행기관
학술지명
권호사항
발행연도
1998
작성언어
Korean
KDC
326.2
자료형태
학술저널
수록면
243-284(42쪽)
제공처
소장기관
Chinese Leadership in Beijing in currently seem to have survived the expected fallout of Deng Xiaoping's death better than some observers had anticipated. But the regime's political future has remained in doubt. A good deal of success of Beijing's efforts in both economy and political stability is attributed to the leadership of Deng Xiaoping, and Deng's demise means that a vacuum at the center of political power in China could lead to political struggles with possibly adverse outcomes for the country. The leadership transition is likely to complicate and already difficult set of problems caused by overheated economic growth, rapid social change, a realignment of central and local power arrangements and other factors.
It is important to note, however, that China today is not the China of Mao Zedong when central leaders could dictate policy changes in defiance of economic, social and international realities. China's future will be determined by a mix of leadership judgements interacting with economic, political, military and foreign policy trends.
Scholars and experts on Chinese politics envision a wide range of scenarios about the political future of China over the next few years. A positive scenario posits increasingly effective political administration and eventual democratic reform along with continued successful economic modernization. Alternative outcomes viewed negatively can be of two kinds. One sees a series of developments leading to a steady degeneration of government effectiveness and authority, with a number of resulting negative side effects for China's economic and social development. Another sees China successfully developing economic power while retaining strong authoritarian political control. This contemplates an emerging Chinese economic and military superpower, much less interested in accommodation with the outside world and unfettered by the political checks and balances that would accompany a less authoritarian political structure
Economic modernization remains a fundamental determinant of the future of China. Post-Mao leaders have recognized that their hold on power rests heavily on their ability to achieve concrete economic success and to make life materially better for the vast majority of the Chinese people. They are aware that they have little of Mao's prestige as a successful revolutionary and nationalist leader, and that the hold of communist ideology on the minds of the Chinese people is a thing of the past. Economic performance is the linchpin of the continued political legitimacy of the leaders in china.
Since the early 1980's, China's economy has grown at an average of nearly 9% a year in real terms. Living standards for much of the Chinese population have improved steadily over the past decade and a half. China's economic success, however, has not been without significant drawbacks and a conservative emphasis on central control and economic balance has prevailed. Nevertheless, the overall direction is toward greater growth and reform.
Regarding its policy toward Korea, Chinese leader have continued to state that stability and peace in Korean peninsula is very important to China. Therefore, China is especially anxious that nay unstable political situation in Korean peninsula could lead to confrontation or conflict between North and South Korea, possibly involving China. For the time being, Beijing will stick to a balanced approach toward the peninsula and try that Korean peninsula will no be incorporated into one hegemonic power. On the basis of this principle, the economic relations between China and South Korean will be still more expanded. China has already solidified its economic ties with South Korea, with annual two-way trade amounting to about $20 billion
Currently, there seems no imminent disruption or chaos in China and the CCP will put an emphasis on the political stability. However, no one knows exactly where China will be headed. The only clear thing is that a new chapter for the world's longest continuous civilization opens as its last patriarch gives up the ghost.
서지정보 내보내기(Export)
닫기소장기관 정보
닫기권호소장정보
닫기오류접수
닫기오류 접수 확인
닫기음성서비스 신청
닫기음성서비스 신청 확인
닫기이용약관
닫기학술연구정보서비스 이용약관 (2017년 1월 1일 ~ 현재 적용)
학술연구정보서비스(이하 RISS)는 정보주체의 자유와 권리 보호를 위해 「개인정보 보호법」 및 관계 법령이 정한 바를 준수하여, 적법하게 개인정보를 처리하고 안전하게 관리하고 있습니다. 이에 「개인정보 보호법」 제30조에 따라 정보주체에게 개인정보 처리에 관한 절차 및 기준을 안내하고, 이와 관련한 고충을 신속하고 원활하게 처리할 수 있도록 하기 위하여 다음과 같이 개인정보 처리방침을 수립·공개합니다.
주요 개인정보 처리 표시(라벨링)
목 차
3년
또는 회원탈퇴시까지5년
(「전자상거래 등에서의 소비자보호에 관한3년
(「전자상거래 등에서의 소비자보호에 관한2년
이상(개인정보보호위원회 : 개인정보의 안전성 확보조치 기준)개인정보파일의 명칭 | 운영근거 / 처리목적 | 개인정보파일에 기록되는 개인정보의 항목 | 보유기간 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
학술연구정보서비스 이용자 가입정보 파일 | 한국교육학술정보원법 | 필수 | ID, 비밀번호, 성명, 생년월일, 신분(직업구분), 이메일, 소속분야, 웹진메일 수신동의 여부 | 3년 또는 탈퇴시 |
선택 | 소속기관명, 소속도서관명, 학과/부서명, 학번/직원번호, 휴대전화, 주소 |
구분 | 담당자 | 연락처 |
---|---|---|
KERIS 개인정보 보호책임자 | 정보보호본부 김태우 | - 이메일 : lsy@keris.or.kr - 전화번호 : 053-714-0439 - 팩스번호 : 053-714-0195 |
KERIS 개인정보 보호담당자 | 개인정보보호부 이상엽 | |
RISS 개인정보 보호책임자 | 대학학술본부 장금연 | - 이메일 : giltizen@keris.or.kr - 전화번호 : 053-714-0149 - 팩스번호 : 053-714-0194 |
RISS 개인정보 보호담당자 | 학술진흥부 길원진 |
자동로그아웃 안내
닫기인증오류 안내
닫기귀하께서는 휴면계정 전환 후 1년동안 회원정보 수집 및 이용에 대한
재동의를 하지 않으신 관계로 개인정보가 삭제되었습니다.
(참조 : RISS 이용약관 및 개인정보처리방침)
신규회원으로 가입하여 이용 부탁 드리며, 추가 문의는 고객센터로 연락 바랍니다.
- 기존 아이디 재사용 불가
휴면계정 안내
RISS는 [표준개인정보 보호지침]에 따라 2년을 주기로 개인정보 수집·이용에 관하여 (재)동의를 받고 있으며, (재)동의를 하지 않을 경우, 휴면계정으로 전환됩니다.
(※ 휴면계정은 원문이용 및 복사/대출 서비스를 이용할 수 없습니다.)
휴면계정으로 전환된 후 1년간 회원정보 수집·이용에 대한 재동의를 하지 않을 경우, RISS에서 자동탈퇴 및 개인정보가 삭제처리 됩니다.
고객센터 1599-3122
ARS번호+1번(회원가입 및 정보수정)