주거지원 대상자의 중도탈락 위험에 대한 연구 : 자율중도탈락과 강제중도탈락의 경쟁위험 분석을 중심으로 = Predicting Risk of Dropout of Housing Support: Focusing on the Competing-risk Analysis

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This study explored factors that affect the risk of dropout within support period of the housing support project among the rehabilitation protection projects of Korea Rehabilitation Agency. The subjects of this analysis were 3,128 people who supported by the project from 2005 to September 2009. As for the analysis method, survival analysis was used to consider the difference in the support period of each subject. Also, the dropout was classified into autonomous dropout and forced dropout according to each cause, and the competing-risk analysis was conducted considering that the two events are in competition with each other.
The summary of the analysis results is as follows. When the risk of total dropout was used as a dependent variable, it was found that the support before release, age, education level and ex-crime type had statistically significant. In the result of competing-risk analysis, only age and education level were significant in the case of autonomous dropout. On the other hand, in case of forced dropout, the support before release, the time of revision, age, number of ex-crime and type of ex-crime were statistically significant. The two types of dropouts were compared. 1) The variables put in this study were better predicted the risk of forced dropout than the risk of autonomous dropout. 2) The support before release, the time of revision, and the previous disposition of criminal justice institutions were significant only in the forced dropout model. Finally, the interpretation of the above results and policy implications were discussed in conclusions and suggestions.

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